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13/8/2020  
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ECONOMICS
IMF: Global Growth to Rise Slightly

IMF Experts say the global economy will expand 3.5 percent this year


The IMF´s Chief Economist, Olivier Blanchard says advanced economies like the United States will grow a little faster while emerging nations will expand a little more slowly. The economic picture is complicated by falling oil prices, large changes in currency exchange rates, and high levels of debt and other problems left over from the recession.
JACR 15/4/2015 Send to a friend
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 IMF experts say oil importers like the United States, Europe, China, and India will spend less on energy, leaving more money for other uses, which will help growth. Oil exporters are hurt by declining prices, but many have significant cash reserves, which mean they will not have to cut spending quite as much as they would otherwise.

Blanchard said the rising value of the dollar means U.S.-made goods are more expensive on global markets, and that may hurt U.S. exports and limit growth in the world´s largest economy. The dollar is rising because U.S. interest rates are expected to go up, which would make American assets a better deal for investors. The euro area and Japan have cut interest rates in a bid to boost economic growth, which is why their currencies are losing value compared to the dollar.

In 2015, the global growth will be driven by a rebound in advanced economies –is projected to increase from 1.8 percent last year to 2.4 this year– and will be supported by lower oil prices, according to the WEO report.

In the US is expected to exceed 3 percent growth in 2015-16. Domestic demand will be supported by lower oil prices, a more moderate fiscal adjustment and the continued support of accommodative monetary policy, despite a gradual increase in interest rates and some deceleration of projects net exports as a result of the recent appreciation of the dollar. In the euro area, the growth will rise from 0.9 percent in 2014 to 1.5 in 2015 and more slightly to 1.6 in 2016. Growth forecasts for most emerging and developing economies have worsened slightly. Growth is expected to slow from 4.6 percent in 2014 to 4.3 in 2015, due to various factors.

The assessment of the economy comes as top economic officials from around the world are gathering in Washington for this week´s meetings of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank.

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